Historical US Inflation Rates
From wartime spikes to the Great Depression's deflation to 2022's post-COVID surge — how inflation has shaped the value of money over 110 years.
Annual CPI Inflation Rate (1970–2024)
Negative values = deflation (prices fell). The Fed targets ~2% annual inflation.
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Inflation by Decade
| Decade | Avg. Annual | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 1920s | +0.1% | Deflation in early years offset by late-decade stability |
| 1930s | -2% | Great Depression — prices fell significantly |
| 1940s | +5.9% | WWII spending and post-war demand surge |
| 1950s | +2.2% | Post-war stability, moderate growth |
| 1960s | +2.5% | Vietnam War spending began pushing prices up |
| 1970s | +7.4% | Oil shocks, stagflation — worst peacetime inflation |
| 1980s | +4.7% | Volcker tamed inflation with high interest rates |
| 1990s | +2.7% | Great Moderation — stable, low inflation |
| 2000s | +2.6% | Stable until 2008 financial crisis |
| 2010s | +1.8% | Below Fed target for most of the decade |
| 2020s | +4.2% | COVID stimulus → 2022 spike (8.0%), now normalizing |
What This Means for Retirement
The long-term average is ~3.2%. The Fed targets 2%. Using 2.5–3% is realistic without being overly conservative.
Stocks have historically returned 7–10% nominal, outpacing inflation. Even in retirement, keep 40–60% in equities for growth.
SS benefits adjust for inflation annually. Delaying to 70 maximizes this inflation-protected income stream.
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities guarantee a real return above inflation. Consider for the bond portion of your portfolio.
See how different inflation assumptions affect your retirement projections
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