Historical US Inflation Rates

From wartime spikes to the Great Depression's deflation to 2022's post-COVID surge — how inflation has shaped the value of money over 110 years.

From:

Annual CPI Inflation Rate (1970–2024)

1973197719811985198919931997200220072011201520192024-5%0%5%10%15%Fed Target ~2-3%

Negative values = deflation (prices fell). The Fed targets ~2% annual inflation.

Retirement Purchasing Power Calculator

Expenses in year 25
$209,378
Today's $100,000 buys in year 25
$47,761

Inflation by Decade

DecadeAvg. AnnualContext
1920s+0.1%Deflation in early years offset by late-decade stability
1930s-2%Great Depression — prices fell significantly
1940s+5.9%WWII spending and post-war demand surge
1950s+2.2%Post-war stability, moderate growth
1960s+2.5%Vietnam War spending began pushing prices up
1970s+7.4%Oil shocks, stagflation — worst peacetime inflation
1980s+4.7%Volcker tamed inflation with high interest rates
1990s+2.7%Great Moderation — stable, low inflation
2000s+2.6%Stable until 2008 financial crisis
2010s+1.8%Below Fed target for most of the decade
2020s+4.2%COVID stimulus → 2022 spike (8.0%), now normalizing

What This Means for Retirement

Use 2.5–3% in Your Plan

The long-term average is ~3.2%. The Fed targets 2%. Using 2.5–3% is realistic without being overly conservative.

Stay Invested in Stocks

Stocks have historically returned 7–10% nominal, outpacing inflation. Even in retirement, keep 40–60% in equities for growth.

Social Security Has COLA

SS benefits adjust for inflation annually. Delaying to 70 maximizes this inflation-protected income stream.

TIPS for Bond Allocation

Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities guarantee a real return above inflation. Consider for the bond portion of your portfolio.

See how different inflation assumptions affect your retirement projections

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